SVTP stock pick thread.

nxhappy

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I unloaded my EWG puts for a small loss yesterday. Still have my SNAP puts but don't expect them to ever hit. I made a small day trade on SPY calls also yesterday and made about 40% on that, I should have held. This morning I took on a large trade in SPY calls because I think the Fed MAY actually be able to pump this thing back up to ATH before the elections. Call me crazy but we live in crazy times. Looking at trader discussions around the internet, I am now seeing the same thought process from put buyers as traders who bought the top and kept averaging down to 0 in previous bubbles like certain biotech stocks, greek shipping stocks, crypto, etc. and this leads me to believe we have likely seen the bottom. We have never seen unlimited QE before, Trump has every motive to pump before election, and the psychology of put buyers right now is just too obvious to ignore. I've seen in a million times. I could be wrong, and I will reevaluate if we drop back below 2300 on the S&P
it might actually be close to the bottom. I mean, we took a 10,000 point hit....****ing 40 percent. we may have a few red days, but I don't think its going to tank 2000 points like it did. I might wait for a 500-700 red day and go all in. long term plays and dividends. should have bought in at 18k LOL ****. although I'm still up for the past 30 days, after all this horse shit.
 

D1984

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it might actually be close to the bottom. I mean, we took a 10,000 point hit....****ing 40 percent. we may have a few red days, but I don't think its going to tank 2000 points like it did. I might wait for a 500-700 red day and go all in. long term plays and dividends. should have bought in at 18k LOL ****. although I'm still up for the past 30 days, after all this horse shit.

I'm holding on to my calls. S&P closing above 2600 was extremely significant today. I saw some large players trying to close it below, but the Fed and FOMO came in and wiped them out. This was a level of resistance dating back to the 2018 trade wars correction and very important. Next stop is 2720 and then 2870 and then I'm going to go ahead and say the correction is fully over after that. Again, this may all sound crazy but today's action proved how much power the Fed now has, and we will get continuous short squeezing on the way up, particularly retail who will keep piling on their shorts and puts and getting wiped out.
 

04SVT_COBRA

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VIX is holding up extremely well given current market action, which signals to me we may have some very bearish activity short-term. The way the markets are reacting today doesn't make much sense at all (what is new) so it will be interesting to see who wins the day. I am still long UVXY (I thought markets would gap down big today) and looking at NUGT puts and a few other small cap plays related to COVID-19.

Also kicking myself for not picking up CHWY during the last week while I had been waiting for a long-term entry. I like this company a lot!
 

Weather Man

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VIX is holding up extremely well given current market action, which signals to me we may have some very bearish activity short-term. The way the markets are reacting today doesn't make much sense at all (what is new) so it will be interesting to see who wins the day. I am still long UVXY (I thought markets would gap down big today) and looking at NUGT puts and a few other small cap plays related to COVID-19.

Also kicking myself for not picking up CHWY during the last week while I had been waiting for a long-term entry. I like this company a lot!

The 2 trillion relief package and the Feds stomping on some shorties make figuring out the market tough.
 

04SVT_COBRA

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They are doing everything in their power to keep the markets propped up, which is telling in itself.

-Fed Firehose for banking liquidity
-Congress Stimulus ++
-USD Swaps to stem foreign margin calls
-Pension EOM/EOQ buying
-HY+ IG tighter, bid

Basically, small businesses are going to get absolutely ****ed while the fed does everything in it's power to save the stock market and the big players.
 

nxhappy

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Ridiculous....but exactly what I have been thinking. I keep forgetting that the stock market and reality have nothing to do with each other...
+700 today I mean WTF. Makes ZERO sense. Maybe the american people aren't truly afraid. I could be wrong but I think we will have the fastest market comeback in total history.
 

MG0h3

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+700 today I mean WTF. Makes ZERO sense. Maybe the american people aren't truly afraid. I could be wrong but I think we will have the fastest market comeback in total history.

Agree on zero sense.

I thought for sure with the announcement of longer stay home recommendations, potentially until June, things would shit the bed.

Crazy.


“You’re full of $#!+”
Joe Biden

svtperformance.com mobile app
 

RedRocketMike

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Can't trust the activity of March 30/31. Lots of rebalancing going on and thee VERY important tape paint before everyone's quarterly 401k statement goes out in the mail. (when most passive investors see their holdings) this is crucial for consumer confidence. Let's see what April 1&2 bring. This Covid economy halt is probably going to last into the summer. Deaths will start ramping up soon. Nurses and Dr.s will start falling ill soon. Followed by their families.

Better testing about to show up on the scene too, so numbers will start going up. My friend had to wait 6 days to get a result for his Covid test. Abbott Labs has one now that does it in minutes.
 
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nxhappy

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tomorrow is gonna be super interesting after Trumps conference today ...hang tight folks
 

D1984

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Man, I thought SPY was good to go to 272 at least. I should have followed the chart I drew a few days back a little more. Got rejected off the old channel, then RSI nosedived through it's trend line afterwards. I'm still holding my calls, they're dated pretty far out but it's not become more of a bagholding situation I have to be patient on instead of a trade. I still have my SNAP puts and I guess I'll be picking up more puts on something once volatility settles down a bit. Here's the chart:
 

04SVT_COBRA

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Anyone else looking at APT? Flipped some calls this morning on the gap fill, but looking at this for a possible swing. Looks short-squeezy to me.

WTRH - I am long @ $1.16 for a swing....$1 stop $1.50+ target. Looking for this to get some momentum with other names in the category. Should see $2+ imo
 
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98 svt

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Anyone else looking at APT? Flipped some calls this morning on the gap fill, but looking at this for a possible swing. Looks short-squeezy to me.

WTRH - I am long @ $1.16 for a swing....$1 stop $1.50+ target. Looking for this to get some momentum with other names in the category. Should see $2+ imo


I bought some WTRH a couple weeks ago. I'm gonna sit on it.
 

04SVT_COBRA

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lol.....market prices in double the unemployment numbers, but a tweet from the Trump sends oil up 35% in minutes. The man is smart, he knows the algos were going to buy that crap. I miss watching the markets every day like this.
 

D1984

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Since casinos are closed, I took out a small gamble today and bought some SPY puts that expire tomorrow when SPY was trading over 250
 

04SVT_COBRA

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I am holding KLXE ($0.71 average) into next week OPEC meeting on Monday. Riskier play, targets between $1-$1.50

Also, call me crazy but I am looking at LK calls. I think this goes back to $15 area.
 
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04SVT_COBRA

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I am holding KLXE ($0.71 average) into next week OPEC meeting on Monday. Riskier play, targets between $1-$1.50

Also, call me crazy but I am looking at LK calls. I think this goes back to $15 area.

WTRH - Stopped out, but I went long again with a small swing position at $0.97. I don't think this one is done yet.
KLXE - I didn't get my OPEC meeting push like expected, but the chart was really beat up and looked good on all time-frames. Sold at $1.45 this morning for 105% . I will likely get back in this if it wants to retest my original buy area.
 

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