Looks like Elon is having second thoughts about twitter. Twitter stock falls after Elon Musk puts buyout deal ‘temporarily on hold’
From what I heard he is holding the deal until Twitter tells him how many bots are on the platform.
Looks like Elon is having second thoughts about twitter. Twitter stock falls after Elon Musk puts buyout deal ‘temporarily on hold’
I'm no biologist, but that looks very bad.
Walmart down over 10%.
Target down almost 25% pre-market.
Big earnings miss for both.
It could really get nasty. Interest rates will keep going up which compels some investors to leave the equity markets and go to bonds and cd's. I've heard possibilities of stagflation as well which is never a pleasant event.I think the big ugly is yet to come.
S&P 3,600 is the new bull case; sell rips and watch yen for a crash warning - BofA
SPY -0.61%May 20, 2022 7:40 AM ET6 Comments
Pessimism is pervasive across the equity market and traders are telling BofA Securities that a further 8% drop in the S&P 500 (SP500) (NYSEARCA:SPY) is a bullish scenario.
"Heard on the Street: '3600 is the new bull case,'" strategist Michael Hartnett said in his weekly Flow Show note Friday.
U.S. GDP was $24.4T in Q1 and the global equity market cap collapse since the Nov 2021 peak has been $23.4T.
The "stock market basically dropped by 1 US economy in 6 months," Hartnett said.
But equity flows are not at capitulation levels and his stance is still "sell-any-rips."
Investors should also watch the yen (FXY) as pretty much every stock market crash in the last 40 years has seen "sharp, quick yen appreciation.
Of the "19 US equity bear markets past 140 year (the) average price decline = 37.3% & average duration 289 days," he noted.
IF that were to be repeated, today's bear market ends on Oct. 19 2022 with the S&P at 3,000 and the Nasdaq (COMP.IND) (QQQ) at 10,000. The yen and the Swiss franc are hedges for this.
The bearish unanticipated cyclical risks are:
Wall Street assets being 6.3x U.S. GDP. As "seen in 2020 the quickest route to a deep recession is via a Wall St crash (and vice-versa)."
Housing and labor markets are "only just at inflection points." The U.S. home purchase index is falling. Retail layoffs could sting as retail has accounted for 12% of all job gains over the past two years and leisure and hospitality has accounted for 33%.
Inflation "hinders Fed reaction function, polarization hinders fiscal policy reaction function in a crisis, recession."
"Banks (are) arguably safest part of financial system yet (BKX) index trades below highs of '07, '18, pre-COVID '19. A break below 100 would scream recession and/or credit event (and) tighter lending standards in coming quarters."
The "leveraged loan market (is) cracking, systemic risk from bond/stock/real estate deleveraging in risk parity (RPAR), private equity (PSP) high, PE exposure to syndicated loans high, sovereign wealth funds, credit events in speculative tech, shadow banking, US consumer buy now, pay later models, European credit/banks/housing, Emerging Markets, zombie corporations, and so on ... and the Fed has not yet begun QT."
Goldman Sachs recently issued its playbook for a recession.
According to S&P, if we close below 3837 today, we’re in a bear market that started in Jan
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