The Terminator and Fair Market Value

VSack

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Note: I posted this a few months ago in a KBB argument thread. There was some really good feedback from the community, so I finally decided to post it as its own thread in hopes that the mods will sticky it.

Maybe this will help curb a lot of the discussions/arguments about how much people should charge for their cars and why.




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About every month, another thread pops up asking about the price of 03-04 Cobras and why they can vary so greatly and never seem to be anywhere near what Blue Book tells you it is. I wanted to contribute what I learned when I purchased my car in hopes that any new prospective owners can use it.

Supply and Demand - That price you are seeing on kbb and nadaguides? Pretty much useless. Both guides give you reasonable depreciation numbers based on a value that assumes demand for such a vehicle is met by consumer interest. SVT vehicles are produced in limited quantities and their rarity demands a premium on price usually not reflected by these guides.

A good example of this (if not a bit extreme) is the Ferrari Enzo. The price suggested by Ferrari is roughly half of what people who own one paid. The car was limited, everyone wanted one, and you are willing to pay a premium to have something so exclusive.

Cobras are no different. The 2000 R was one of the most limited and the prices even today certainly reflect that. While Terminators are less rare, exactly how many do you see on the road every day in your daily commute?

You will pay extra for the privilege of a vehicle that is more rare.

Mileage - Mileage can be a determining factor in the cars usage over the past several years. Sure, some low milage cars got the crap kicked out of them when they were driven, but garage queens have usually seen almost no adverse weather, serious stop and go traffic from commutes, or any of the other things that wear down a car into old age.

If you are looking at something with low mileage, you have to consider that you are dealing not with drivers so much as you are dealing with collectors and again you will see a premium for such a privilege.

The 03-04 Cobra is approaching the cusp in which its numbers will begin to dwindle from normal usage, and lower mileage cars are becoming a long term investment as they head for storage and a classic status.

This is a special car with a great lineage and is cited by many (Shelby included) as being a milestone that's going to be recognized for years to come.

Condition - When someone in a 2003 stock V6 says their Mustang is in great condition versus someone who says their Terminator is in great shape, you're probably going to be looking over a chasm of difference in the term 'great'. Terminators that are in great shape look new. I mean REALLY new. Normal drivers don't keep their cars looking this good after a month let alone 6 years in service.

Even the ones broadcast on here in fair shape are much better than average. Cobra owners are a discerning bunch, and by and large most of us keep our cars looking better than we keep our own appearance up.

Reliability - The most often cited reason for a premium on price tends to be how reliable the engine really is. This things were built for speed, and most of us have had fantastic luck with the engines we were given. If you stare at the boards long enough you'll begin to panic as you see many people having problems, but they number in the (at most) dozens compared to the hundreds or even thousands of us that don't seem to have much to worry about.

Also remember that you are on a site dedicated to the performance and modification of such a vehicle, and reliability may be compromised if you push too hard or push at all and don't take the right precautions.

These things are BEASTS and there is no vehicle in the same range that can do what this car can do.

Paint - There are a handful of colors that are more equal than others. Orange and Mystichrome tend to be the biggest standouts mostly because of their rarity and their ability to....stand out. Condition of the paint is also a big factor in price, since the paint on Fords is notoriously weak in spots and taking care of your shell can be the difference in a repaint in a year or having it look like it rolled off the showroom floor in ten more years.

Modifications - This is going to undoubtedly be the biggest issue of contention in this post. Owners of cars they modify will sometimes price a vehicle thinking that mods add value to a car. In many cases, mods tend to devalue a vehicle because it shows wear and tear above and beyond OEM specification.

In my experiences, if you are buying a car with modifications or trying to sell one, expect about 20% of what was put into the car to be returned back at the transfer of title. It sucks, but we're not adding wings on to our house. Most new owners prefer cars at stock because it gives them a feeling of security and the ability to craft the car in the image they see fit.

The only exceptions to this tend to be at the high end. If you Whipple the car, remove the entire engine to polish it, or have done such a pristine job with what you've done, you can expect someone to pay a lot more for that car as it is.

Timing - Good luck trying to get a good deal two weeks before spring. Good luck trying to sell your car for 25% over what you paid for it in the middle of February.

If you are patient and not in a hurry, people do part with their cars more often in the winter when the pragmatic side of our brains takes over and we start to wonder if we can use that money elsewhere in our budgets.

You better hurry though, because the first sign of sun slaps us back into Steve McQueen mode and you'd have to pry the steering wheel from our cold, dead hand.

Conclusion - The Terminator is a collector's car and a modder's dream. You can't come here looking for your first car and think you are going to pay the same for a Cobra as your other high school buddy paid for his Z28. You have to be able to look at the points above and decide what you want in your next ride.

If you are looking for something to enjoy for enjoyment's sake, you will stumble across a good deal if you are patient. Expect mileage to be higher than 60k and the wear on the non-mechanical to reflect that. If you are looking for a collectible, you already know what you will be looking for in price and condition, so there isn't much point in offering you advice anyways.

There will always be a little wiggle room in the price but remember to not be offensive in serious offers. Ownership always increase what you think something might be worth. Just remember that something is only worth what others are willing to pay for it.

I purchased my Cobra several months ago and I cannot explain in words how happy this car has made me. The fun I have when I drop the hammer, throw the person next to me back into their seat and watch them go silent because they've never been in anything so fast is just pure sex. Couple that with a community that is nice, well informed, and helpful and you are assured that you will fall in love with your Cobra once you get it.

Good luck!
 

CPViolation

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Excellent write-up.

If you're looking for a car to flip the Terminator doesn't have enough years under its belt quite yet.
Assuming parents continue to give teenagers and or drivers with zero or no driving skills will accelerate the process of the car becoming a collectors item.

I didn't buy the car to look into my crystal ball to see what it may be worth down the road. I bought it because it was to that date (8/04) most fun driving experience I've had in a street machine. Almost as much as having sex.

Again kudos.
Jeff
 

SRT_2_SVT

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Glad someone said it...

Tired of seeing threads... WTB a cobra for $13k and then the OP wondering why he cant find one for that price. These cars arent cheap. And im tired of people quoting blue book and complaining about the cars being over priced. If you cant afford one... stop looking.
 

Silver95

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There's a black 04 STOCK as a rock, one owner cobra for sale that I found. He's asking 29,900 obo. The thing has 3300 miles on it and looks literally brand spanking new.

I never got a chance to buy this car brand new and If I get a chance for this car to be on the market come spring time, I am seriously going to consider this.
 

1967eleanor

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Glad someone said it...

Tired of seeing threads... WTB a cobra for $13k and then the OP wondering why he cant find one for that price. These cars arent cheap. And im tired of people quoting blue book and complaining about the cars being over priced. If you cant afford one... stop looking.

couldnt agree more. These cars are very unique and highly desired, you may be able to find one for 14k but i guarantee it wont have a clear title, under 50,000miles or have no issues.
 

Deftones

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Very nice write up man. I feel the same way when ass hats start threads about wanting a clean low mileage Terminator for $12k. Seriously this isnt a plain Jane everyday GT or V6 Mustang.
 

spincobra03

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I agree with 99% of that write up except the opening paragraph.
That price you are seeing on kbb and nadaguides? Pretty much useless. Both guides give you reasonable depreciation numbers based on a value that assumes demand for such a vehicle is met by consumer interest

I have just gone through this at my bank. 99% of banks base what they are willing loan off of those values. Granted the cars are limited but KBB or NADA are actually fairly important IMO. I agree that KBB and such are poor barometers for what the car is worth but cant be dismissed because financing for the consumer is inevitably what it boils down to. I actually had a conversation about this very topic with my father who is a trustee at a bank. He votes on loans etc.. I tryed explaining these cars are limited and there not like a typical ford escort etc.. and everytime he went back to "it doesnt matter, (we were actually arguing over it, kinda funny) a bank doesn't know the difference if a car has 10 HP or 1000 HP, if henery ford himself built the car or a kid at a tech school. The bank just wants to know, if you cant pay for this loan what can we get for this car. Its a very interesting topic and by the end of the conversation he made more of a believer out of me. But I still say there are some shades of grey when it comes to this whole market value on terminators, the truth probably lies somewhere in the middle.
 

dom418

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I paid 30K for my blk 04 coupe with 4000 miles on it last year and never looked back. The way new car prices are, you can't even touch a GT for 30K and 50K for a Shelby? I don't think so. For me it was a no brainer. The guys that come in here and low ball don't own a Terminator and probably can't even afford one. They are just trying to make all of us believe these cars aren't worth the money but are the dame people dying to own one. This car will continue to hold its strong retail value and 20 years from now who knows, it may increase in value. Look at the Grand National, 93 Cobra or Supra.
 

Alwaysready

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Well said but the market is the market. I've seen guys asking the same price for their cars for 6 months. After 6 realize you need to drop the price if you Want to sell it
And prices right now are all over the place.
There a SB 50K mile car by me for $16k at a DEALER(most read overpriced) prolly been beat but
I've seen the similar cars with similiar mileage on here with an asking price of $22k.
To a lot of people they think the guy asking $22k is crazy.
Right now with the banks that won't finance over
5 year old vehicles (mine won't) poor credit bad economy the demand is low cause of financing
Supply is high due to all the termi guys jumping to shelbys.
Its the market it goes up and down just like stocks
Look at clean fox bodies same thing happened.
They will come back up in value in time
 

idhitit

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I have owned four 03-04 cobras. They were all my favorite cars. Each one had something unique about it. There is nothing like spending 1500 bucks and running low 11s high 10s!! The sounds are amazing. I miss hearing my screaming Eaton car with a Maganaflow exhaust and off road x pipe. Wow I miss it!
BUT, they were not a collector’s item :lol1: it was just a mustang. There hasn’t been but a few collector cars built in the last 30 years the Ford Gt being one of them. The Gt has actually increased in value since it was new. Who are you guys kidding? These cars may hold their value (those with under 5K miles orange and a convertible so, 72 or less of them) but for the most part they will never be worth more than they were new anytime in the near future, Period.
Just enjoy the cars and when you’re done sell it buy something else.
All of these threads with people selling these things like they are pure gold is ridiculous. Good luck finding a bank that will even finance one any more they are all over 5 years old.
The KBB and NADA values are all the cars are worth to the rest of the free world. Good luck telling the insurance guy its worth more because it will be a collector’s car in the year 2038. Let me know how that works out for you hahah
Anyway enough of the :bs: these cars values are falling like rocks because:
1. You can’t hardly finance them
2. People are broke. (Can’t really have a toy if you can’t make the mortgage)
3. All of mine got horrible gas mileage 15 mpg or less (blower whine and magnaflow again :D)
5. They are old news since the new sn 197 body style has come out. (Same interior since 1994......)
6. it’s a 6-7 year old car in just one week!!
How can you justify to yourself that a seven year old car you have to take out 20K+ out of your saving for with no warranty, questionable history, and a questionable future. Get Real!


Have a cold beer and relax its only a car. :beer:
 
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lxtasy93

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All good points but I think the OP had more solid points than most others. I knew a bank wouldn't loan on an 03 in 2008, so I sold one of my foxbodies and then saved another 11 grand until I could buy one CASH. I hawked and skulked this site, ebay, autotrader & others until my car came up. I bought it off this site and have never looked back. I bought ZY on purpose, but it didn't hurt that everybody else hates it. Again, supply vs. demand got me a 21K mile car with great mods in November 2008 for 19K. Typical? hardly but the good deals are out there if you wait and hunt. A car is worth what somebody wil pay for it. 03-04 Cobras are the Hemi Cudas of our generation, just my humble 40 year old opinion.
 

Y2k4cobra

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How can you justify to yourself that a seven year old car you have to take out 20K+ out of your saving for with no warranty, questionable history, and a questionable future. Get Real!


Have a cold beer and relax its only a car. :beer:

How can you justify a 40 year old car and paying $60k for? Its a cash market, nada doesn't mean crap if my car gets totaled I will get a check for $28500 which it is appraised at, and that is what the insurance agrees upon. I have no problem with paying top dollar for the right car. If a 1971 cuda came along and was the right car for $45k do you think the bank would give me a loan for a car that is almost 40 years old, no way. Cash is king either you have it or you don't.

Its a great write up and our cars value will go up. A big example is the fox market nada is $2500 for a 91 gt with 30,000 miles. If you find me one for that price and I will pay double! A 91 GT with low miles are going for $10k, its a cycle that the cars will drop in value and the people with cash will buy what they want, when they want, and the cars will bring top dollar.
 
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